We have a Newcastle v Man City prediction for you plus a breakdown of the odds and matchups ahead of this massive Premier League clash.
How To Watch Newcastle v Man City
When is Newcastle v Man City?
Man City v Newcastle will take place on Saturday at 5.30 pm in the Premier League’s evening kick-off.
Newcastle v Man City will be broadcast on TNT Sports 1 to viewers in the UK and Ireland.
In the UK and Ireland you can live stream Newcastle v Man City on Discovery+. Subscription required.
Where is Newcastle v Man City Being Played?
Newcastle are at home so this fixture will be played at their home ground St James’ Park in Newcastle, England.
Newcastle v Man City Odds
|Newcastle v Man City Betting Odds – Premier League
Newcastle are 9/2 underdogs for this game despite having home advantage.
Man City are the 11/20 favourites according to the latest Premier League odds at BoyleSports to make it three wins on the spin in the league. The draw is priced up at 16/5.
Newcastle: +1 @ 7/5
Man City: -1 @ 7/5
Handicap Draw: +1 @ 13/5
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Newcastle v Man City Weather Forecast
The weather is forecast to be between 5 degrees with no rain.
Newcastle v Man City Preview
The good feeling around Newcastle has fallen off of late with a squad riddled with injuries and suspensions. They have now lost 4 of their last 5 league games and the pressure is piling on Eddie Howe. That being said, they have shown St James’ Park to be a fortress at times for the club and a victory here could bring them up to 7th place in the table.
Last time out brought back some positivity to the club too with a 0-3 win over bitter rivals Sunderland at the Stadium of Light last Saturday in the FA Cup 3rd Round following a Ballard own goal and a brace from Isak. It was nothing more than they deserved after having 65% of possession and doubling their opponent’s shot tally with 10.
Newcastle’s 39-goal total gives them the 5th-best attack in the league, but remarkably they should arguably have more having created an XG of 43.62. Their defence is another story, their 29 goals conceded means they have the 7th best defence from an XGA of 33.92.
The Expected Points total for the Magpies has them 5th in the table which suggests that their performances are better than their actual league position.
Newcastle’s Last Five Results
Sunderland 0-3 Newcastle | January 6th | Win
Liverpool 4-2 Newcastle | January 1st | Loss
Newcastle 1-3 Nottingham Forest | December 26th | Loss
Luton Town 1-0 Newcastle | December 23rd | Loss
Chelsea 1-1 Newcastle (4-2 penalties) | December 19th | Draw
1 Win, 3 Loses and 1 Draw
Man City’s Form
Man City are quietly going about their business in the league and with 10 points from their last four league games, they remain well in touch at the top with also a game in hand over those around them. Pep Guardiola’s side remain a serious contender for their 4th successive league title.
At the weekend Man City had a comprehensive 5-0 victory over Huddersfield in the FA Cup 3rd Round through a Foden Brace, Alvarez goal, an own-goal and a Doku finish. In that match, they had 18 shots to their opponents 2 along with 84% of possession. You can expect Newcastle to provide a much sterner test come the weekend than Huddersfield did.
Man City unsurprisingly are the highest scorers in the league this season with 45 goals from 19 matches and an XG total of 42.79 proving that there are some elite finishers in this Man City squad.
In contrast, they have also the 3rd meanest defence having conceded 21 goals from an XGA of 18.5 (the lowest in the league). This suggests their defence is even better than statistics would have you think.
Man City’s Last Five Results
Man City 5-0 Huddersfield | January 7th | Win
Man City 2-0 Sheffield United | December 30th | Win
Everton 1-3 Man City | December 27th | Win
Man City 4-0 Fluminense | December 22nd | Win
Urawa Reds 0-3 Man City | December 19th | Win
Newcastle v Man City Predicted Lineups
Newcastle Predicted Starting XI
RB: Trippier, CB: Lascelles, CB: Schár, LB: Burn.
RCM: Longstaff, CM: Guimaraes; LCM: Joelinton,
RW: Almiron, CF: Isak; LW Gordon
Man City Predicted Starting XI
RB: Walker, CB: Akanji, CB: Aké, LB: Gvardiol
CM: Kovacic, CM: Rodri
RW: Silva, AM: Foden, LW: Grealish
Newcastle v Man City Head-To-Head Results & Stats
All-Time Head-To-Head Record
Newcastle wins: 73
Man City wins: 76
Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches
Newcastle 1-0 Man City | League Cup | September 27th, 2023
Man City 1-0 Newcastle | Premier League | August 19th, 2023
Man City 2-0 Newcastle | Premier League | March 4th, 2023
Newcastle 3-3 Man City | Premier League | January 15th, 2022
Man City 5-0 Newcastle | Premier League| May 8th, 2022
Coming into this game, between both teams there has been an average of 3.15 Goals Per Match this season which is slightly more than the league average of 3.11 Goals Per Match.
In historic matches, 75% have Over 1.5 Goals, 70% have Over 2.5 Goals and 50% have had BTTS.
Between both sides, they average 4.2 Cards Per Match, which is lower than the league average of 4.9 Cards Per Match.
Interestingly, these sides average 12 Corners Per Match between them which is more than the league average of 10.52 Corners Per Match.
Newcastle’s busiest period comes in the last 15 minutes where they have scored 8 goals and have conceded 9 goals.
Man City’s busiest period comes both between the 61st-75th minute where they have scored 8 goals and conceded 7 and also the last 15 minutes where they have 9 goals scored and 6 conceded.
Key Players To Watch
Bruno Guimaraes – Newcastle
Coming into a game where Man City will be expected to dominate possession in the hopes of choking out Newcastle, key to everything in the middle of the park for them will be Brazilian Bruno Guimaraes.
Not surprisingly for a Brazilian, he is an elite dribbler and passer when compared against other central midfielders. Guimaraes’s 1.62 Successful Take-Ons Per 90 puts him in the 92nd percentile and his 7.32 Progressive Passes in the 89th percentile, making him the clubs best chance at creating chances from expected minimal chances.
The Brazilian is also solid defensively and will be expected to break up the Man City attacks, potentially through persistent fouling at times too.
Rodri – Man City
The Spaniard is integral to everything great about Man City and is arguably the best defensive midfielder in the world right now.
Since signing from Atlético Madrid in 2019, the club have won roughly 73% of their Premier League games with him in the team and 52.9% without. He was rested for their FA Cup tie against Huddersfield but you can expect he will be key to the City charge these next few months starting Saturday.
His 98 Passes Attempted and 92% Pass completion puts him in the 99th percentile showing he is safe in possession along with his world class defensive positioning. Not only is he safe with the ball though, he breaks the lines with his passing often, averaging 9.29 Progressive Passes Per 90 which puts him in the 97th percentile for all midfielders.
Newcastle v Man City Prediction & Best Bet
Prediction: Newcastle 0-2 Man City
Newcastle have been in free fall in recent weeks, exacerbated from their injury and suspension riddled squad. However, they’ve shown themselves to be a force at home at times and are arguably more suited to the bigger occasions than the so-called smaller teams right now.
Man City and Guardiola are exactly where they want to be, flying under the radar and yet a win at the weekend along with other results going their way and they could be within touching distance of the top with a game in hand against their immediate rivals.
I’m not expecting Newcastle to concede a lot of goals, but I still think City should have far too much for them come the weekend.
Best Bet: Man City Win + Under 2.5 Goals @ 10/3
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*Prices subject to fluctuation.